THE LATEST weather forecast by geography professor Marko Čubril states that the weekend under the influence of the anticyclone will be dry with foggy and cold mornings.
Photo: Tanjug / DK
During the day, with longer sunny intervals and warmer weather with maxima from +9 to +16 degrees Celsius, and only where low clouds and fog last a maximum of around +6 degrees Celsius, the wind will be weak.
At the beginning of next week, the core of the anticyclone will be over Great Britain, which will send a smaller amount of colder air to our part of Europe on the eastern periphery of that anticyclone, and the shallow cyclonic activity over the Mediterranean will strengthen a little.
A cold snap awaits us on Monday
This will cause cloud cover and cooling during the day on Monday, first in the northwest and west of the region, which would spread to the rest of the region on Tuesday night.
No heavy rainfall should be expected, and there will be parts of the region where they will be very weak or absent. Wind in a northerly direction, and a passing storm along the Adriatic.
On Monday, the daily maximum will be from around +6 in the northwest to around +14 in the southeast of the region, while on Tuesday and Wednesday the maximum will mostly range from +5 to +9 degrees Celsius.
According to Čubrilo, transient snow is possible in the mountains over 800 m above sea level.
Photo: Tanjug
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On Wednesday, with a lot of serenity, the morning will be cold, so in the north of the region and in the mountains, the appearance of frost should be expected, mostly up to about -3 degrees Celsius, but strong frost is not expected.
Around November 24, the anticyclone will rise high to the northwest, and it will merge with the anticyclone over the wider area of Iceland and Greenland.
This will cause a typical negative AO situation, which does not bring us a cold.
The rise of the anticyclone will be too far to the west and thus the bulk of the cold penetration across Scandinavia and the UK will move across western and central Europe towards the central Mediterranean.
This will condition the development of a secondary cyclone over the north of Italy (Geneva Cyclone) around November 25, the center of which will remain west of the region until at least around November 29. This will keep us in its warm sector, where strong, warm, southern currents will dominate.
Occasional clouds with rain and thunder
At the same time, Scandinavia will be hit by a real winter storm with a stormy wind and heavy snow, and with a strong northern wind, there will be snow over western and central Europe, while the higher parts of the Alps and the Pyrenees could get very heavy snow.
In our country, from November 24, the south wind will strengthen, on the coast a strong, and occasionally stormy south wind, and in the Košava area a strong and stormy, warm, košava.
Occasionally there will be heavier clouds from the southwest that will bring rain, and there may be thunder showers in the south. Snow would be possible only in some places, well over 1000 m above sea level.
Maximum temperature close to 20 degrees Celsius
Daily highs from +7 to +15, and in areas where the fan effect will be very pronounced, maybe around +18 degrees Celsius.
In summary, November 24 is followed by a typical, strong, autumn south with occasional rain, locally and abundantly, and as for the possible cooling that would bring snow to the lowlands, it is now beginning to be seen only in early December, when a significant part of the ensemble the model has a signal for snow in the lower regions.
It is not necessary to emphasize too much how unreliable that part of the forecast is, especially with such dynamics of the atmosphere that awaits us after November 24th.
Only in 3-4 days we will have a slightly clearer picture of the development of the weather after that date, and until then, after a sunnier and slightly warmer weekend at the beginning of the week, a little colder with precipitation. After 24. 11. south, heat and low air pressure.
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